‘Godzilla 2’ Loses Its Fire With $65m Opening: Box Office Predictions
There’s something for everyone this Box Office weekend, as creature feature ‘Godzilla 2’ hopes to roar into life alongside the high-flying musical biopic ‘Rocketman’, and the Blumhouse horror ‘Ma’, starring Octavia Spencer. The 3 look to open to a combined $100m in a strong weekend further aided by ‘Aladdin’, who flew into top spot a week ago and looks to remain amongst the contenders again.
So, what’s opening this weekend?
‘Godzilla: King of the Monsters’, the follow-up to the successful 2014 release ‘Godzilla’, aims to better its predecessor 5 years on and continue the burgeoning MonsterVerse franchise with a strong opening. The franchise, which also includes 2017’s ‘Kong: Skull Island’, and the upcoming ‘Godzilla vs. Kong’, has already grossed over $1bn at the global Box Office and looks set to hit at least $1.5bn by the time ‘Godzilla 2’s wrapped up.
We can’t get ahead of ourselves however, as a strong start this weekend is needed for the film that cost around $200m to produce. It’s an eye-watering budget that surpasses the likes of ‘Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom’, whose $148m opening last June is likely to double ‘Godzilla 2’s most optimistic hopes. The film suffers from a poor reception with just 42% on the Tomatometer, a far cry from ‘Godzilla’s 75%, and hasn’t garnered the same anticipation as its predecessor, which opened to $93.2m.
So how will ‘Godzilla 2’ do? Referring back to ‘Fallen Kingdom’, whose opening was 30% less than the 1st ‘Jurassic World’ in 2015, a similar drop-off for ‘Godzilla 2’ will leave it opening on a respectable, if not ordinary, $65m. Not the greatest start in the world, but as always, it’s the international gross that’s more important here. The film stars Kyle Chandler, Vera Fermiga, Millie Bobby Brown, and Sally Hawkins amongst a raft of talent, and follows the path of Godzilla, who must defeat Mothra and other monsters who threaten the world.
Next it’s the R-rated Elton John biopic ‘Rocketman’, who, in the wake of recent musical biopics like ‘Bohemian Rhapsody’ and ‘Straight Outta Compton’, hopes to find its voice and continue the genre’s success. Taron Egerton stars as John, alongside Jamie Bell as Bernie Taupin, and follows the singer from a child to stardom.
It’s looking like a strong opening for the film, on track to deliver a $24m start, similar to ‘All Eyez on Me’s start ($26.4m). Of course, critical reception will ensure ‘Rocketman’ will better ‘All Eyez’s pitiful 1.7x opening weekend multiplier, and could even see the film fly to a domestic finish over $100m, becoming only one of 2 Paramount musicals (alongside ‘Grease’) to ever reach the mark.
Finally, we have psychological-horror ‘Ma’, the micro-budgeted Blumhouse release starring Octavia Spencer, Juliette Lewis, and Luke Evans. The production house has become a leading figure in the horror industry in recent years, pumping out hits such as ‘Get Out’, ‘Split’, ‘Glass;’, and ‘Happy Death Day’, and should keep the ball rolling with ‘Ma’, whose forecasted $18m opening will be enough for 4th place this weekend.
What else is on?
Last weekend’s surprise hit ‘Aladdin’ should near the $200m domestic mark by Sunday night, with a 3-day total just shy of $50m. The remake of the popular 1992 animation has surprised all with its run so far, and will also close in on $400m worldwide to overtake‘Dumbo’ as the 7th largest Disney re-imagining. Meanwhile, ‘Endgame’ will pass $2.7bn worldwide with is $9m domestic weekend, as the race to become the highest grossing film of all time goes down to the wire.
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