Joker’ to close in on $200m total as ‘Gemini Man’ battles twin threats ‘Jexi’ and ‘Addams Family’: Box Office Predictions

After Joker’s incredible performance last weekend, the U.S. Box Office becomes a competitive field once more, as 3 new releases enter with a chance to finish in the top 10 spots. Amongst them is ‘The Addams Family’, the MGM animation with an A-list cast, which looks to scare fellow newbies ‘Gemini Man’ and ‘Jexi’, while ‘Joker aims to breeze past the $150m mark to become one of the 15 biggest DC adaptations in American history.

So, what’s opening this weekend?

The Addams Family’ enters the 21st century with a little help from MGM and 3D animation this weekend, with hopes to challenge ‘Joker’s reign atop the Box Office charts. To do so, it’ll need an opening akin to Illumination or Disney, and not MGM/UAR’s last animated effort, ‘Missing Link’ ($5.9m opening).

Illumination originally looked to produce an animated remake of the popular macabre family back in 2010, to sit alongside their host of popular releases such as ‘Despicable Me’, ‘The Secret Life of Pets’, and ‘The Grinch’. Since then, the original creators of the 1991 classic (before the film was sold onto Paramount) announced their plans to create, with the help of Universal and UAR, this newest feature.

And what a feature it promises to be, as its star-studded cast is one of the best of the year. Oscar Isaac, Charlize Theron, Chloe Grace Moretz, Finn Wolfhard, Snoop Dogg, Allison Janney, and Nick Kroll are just some of the names the film can boast of, with ‘Sausage Party’ directors Conrad Vernon and Greg Tiernan hoping to translate star power into Box Office success.

Can they? It simply comes down to whether cinemagoers want an adaptation of a popular film that earned $200m nearly 30 years ago. While distributor UAR’s track record of late’s been woeful to say the least (their biggest film of the year was the $35.4m disappointment ‘The Hustle’), ‘The Addams Family’ should have enough about it to see of the competition, with a $32m opening.

Next is Paramount’s ‘Gemini Man’, featuring Will Smith and helmed by ‘Life of Pi’ director Ang Lee. The action-thriller sees Will Smith’s Henry Brogan, a government assassin, come face-to-face with a younger version of himself. It’s a story that was 1st conceived back in 1997, and since then, multiple actors, including Harrison Ford, Mel Gibson, Sylvester Stallone, and Tom Cruise, were all attached to the lead role.

Partly due to the 20-year development hell, and partly due to the heavy investment in tech helped the film being shot at 120 frames-per-second (films are usually shot at 24), ‘Gemini Man’ carries a mammoth $138m budget, and to double-down on the misery, suffers from a poor critical reception (39% on the Tomatometer, to be precise).

To top things off, ‘Gemini Man’ will have to battle with ‘Joker for the younger male crowd which, judging by last week’s success, are still heavily interested in the latter. All isn’t lost for Ang & Paramount however, with lead Will Smith still able to attract the viewers with his name alone. A $20m-ish opening’s in store here, enough to snatch a top 3 finish.

Finally, this weekend sees the release of R-rated comedy ‘Jexi’. Featuring Adam Devine, Alexandra Shipp, Rose Byrne, and Michael Peña, the film follows Phil (Devine) who, after turning his life around with the help of a mobile app, begins to suffer at the hands of the same software. No tech can help this one out, unfortunately, with the film looking to earn a disappointing $5m upon release.

What else is on?

Once again, ‘Joker will end the weekend on top, dropping around 55% to post a $43m gross. The film will fly past the $150m mark by Friday, pushing close to a $200m domestic total by Sunday night. With this, it’ll break into the top 50 highest-grossing comic book adaptations of all time, top 15 highest-grossing DC adaptations in the U.S., and will become the 2nd largest R-rated movie of the year so far, behind ‘It Chapter Two’.

Rank Last Week’s Rank Film STUDIO Budget JUMPCUT’s prediction Weekend drop Week no.
1 1 Joker Warner Bros $55m+ $43m -55.3% 2
2 New! The Addams Family UAR $32m 1
3 New! Gemini Man Paramount $138m $21m 1
4 2 Abominable Universal $75m $7.2m -39.6% 3
5 3 Downton Abbey Focus Features $20m $4.9m -38.7% 4
6 New! Jexi Lionsgate $4.3m 1
7 4 Hustlers STX Entertainment $20m $3.8m -40.6% 5
8 6 Judy LD Entertainment $3.1m -32.6% 3
9 5 It Chapter Two Warner Bros $79m $2.9m -45.5% 6
10 8 Ad Astra Fox-Disney $80m+ $2.4m -42.7% 4