The Weekend Slows To A ‘Crawl’, With ‘Stuber’ And Co. Barely Opening To $10m Each: Box Office Predictions
This weekend’s 2 entrants, horror-thriller ‘Crawl’ and action-comedy ‘Stuber’, find themselves as the filling of a juicy Disney sandwich. Bookended by last week’s hit ‘Spider-Man: Far From Home’ and the upcoming, highly-anticipated remake of ‘The Lion King’, the newbies must open big before they’re inevitably swallowed in 7 days time. With more than enough competition to stop them this weekend however, a strong start may not even be on the cards for the pair.
So, what’s opening this weekend?
Paramount’s ‘Crawl’ and Fox’s (plus Disney’s) ‘Stuber’ open wide this weekend, both looking to earn in the mid-teens by Sunday night. The 2 films hold R-ratings, but that’s as far as their similarities go, with ‘Crawl’ emulating the something-in-the-water thrillers of recent hits ’44 Meters Down’ and ‘The Shallows’, while ‘Stuber’ showcasing the ying-and-yang buddy cop trope between stars Dave Batista and Kumail Nanjiani.
Directed by Michael Dowse (‘Goon’) and produced by ‘Game Night’ duo Jonathan Goldstein and John Francis Daley, the film follows an Uber driver who has to drive a police officer looking for revenge. A little different then from the Sam Raimi-produced ‘Crawl’, which sees Kaya Scodelario’s Haley fight off underwater predators in the aftermath of a hurricane. The film will also have to fight off ‘Stuber’ for the older-skewing audience it seems, although its 100% on Rotten Tomatoes (albeit from 5 reviews at time of writing) perhaps gives it a better chance, when compared to ‘Stuber’s 44%.
So, what are we forecasting? It’ll be a close race for 3rd place, with ‘Spider-Man’ and ‘Toy Story’ continuing their comfortable reign atop the charts. For ‘Crawl’, we’re expecting an opening in the region of the aforementioned ’44 Meters Down’ ($11.2m) and ‘The Shallows’ ($16.8m) with $12.5m, also taking into account the film stands as the 4th horror released in as many consecutive weeks, while ‘Stuber’ will come in with around $11m, clear of ‘Yesterday’ in 5th place.
What else is on?
As mentioned above, this weekend belongs to ‘Spider-Man: Far From Home’, which aims to bring in a respectable $39m gross by Sunday. It marks a 2nd weekend drop lighter than ‘Spider-Man: Homecoming’ (62%), although its extended 6-day opening last week does throw these numbers into a mix.
Domestically, the film will sit close to $250m by the week’s end, with a global cume of $750m enough for it to sit in 13th place in the worldwide MCU rankings, and just $130m away from predecessor ‘Spider-Man: Homecoming’s entire earnings. The billion mark is therefore in touching distance, although next weekend’s ‘The Lion King’ may take a bite out of its chances.