‘The Curse of La Llorona’ To Conjure Up $18m+ Easter Weekend Win: Box Office Predictions
The long Easter weekend is upon us, and we’re being treated to a close fight between 2 debutants in Wednesday release ‘Breakthrough’, and ‘Conjurverse’ horror ‘The Curse of La Llorona’. Both are expected to crucify ‘Shazam!’, who aims to become the 4th biggest domestic film of the year by Sunday night, and looks to cash in on an audience impatiently waiting on the potentially record-breaking ‘Endgame’ in just a week’s time.
So, what’s opening this weekend?
Much like 7 days ago, 4 new entrants grace U.S. cinemas this Box Office weekend, however, this time only 3 will realistically break into the top 10. It’ll be fronted by ‘The Curse of La Llorona’, the James Wan-produced horror that stars Linda Cardellini, Raymond Cruz, and Patricia Velásquez.
The latest film in the Conjuring Universe of horrors surrounds the Mexican folklore of ‘The Weeping Woman’, with Cardellini’s Anna Garcia stumbling upon the supernatural in 70s L.A. There definitely won’t be any tears with this movie’s opening though, with 1st time director Michael Chaves looking at a start close to $20m.
It’s a strong opening for a film that cost just $15m to produce, although this will be by far the lowest in the ‘Conjurverse’ so far, beating out 2017’s ‘Annabelle: Creation’ ($35m) to the unwanted prize. Still, it’ll be enough to top the charts on a relatively quiet weekend before ‘Endgame’s inevitable mass distraction next week.
One film truly taking advantage of the Easter period is Wednesday-release ‘Breakthrough’, the 1st Fox release of the new Disney era. It’s a Christian drama based off of the 2017 book ‘The Impossible’, and tells the true story of a teenager who fell through an icy lake for 15 minutes, but miraculously survived.
It boasts a strong cast, including Topher Grace, Mike Colter, and Chrissy Metz, and should push ‘La Llorona’ all the way this weekend with an opening close to $15m, mirroring that of a similar film – 2016’s ‘Miracles From Heaven’ ($14.8m). That Sony release starred Jennifer Garner, Eugenio Derbez, and Queen Latifah, and went onto gross an unprecedented $74m worldwide. Miracles truly do happen.
This Box Office weekend also sees the release of Disney documentary ‘Penguins’ in 1,800 cinemas. Like recent animal-fronted Disney docs such as 2015’s ‘Monkey Kingdom’ ($4.6m opening) and 2017’s ‘Born in China’ ($4.8m), ‘Penguins’ will do well to reach $5m, so a $4.7m opening is definitely on the cards.
Finally, Max Minghella’s directorial debut comes in the form of ‘Teen Spirit’, which opens wide into 700 cinemas after opening to $43.6k from 4 cinemas last weekend. The Elle Fanning-fronted musical drama should earn around $1.5m, which won’t be enough for a place in the top 10.
What else is on?
Last weekend’s winner ‘Shazam!’ will finish the upcoming weekend on around $116m after a $13m Friday-Sunday gross, becoming the 4th biggest domestic film of the year after ‘How to Train Your Dragon 3’, ‘Us’, and ‘Captain Marvel’. ‘Endgame’s emergence next weekend will all but stop ‘Shazam!’s Box Office run in its tracks, meaning the next few days are crucial if the film wants to maintain any chance of a theatrical profit.
Surprise package ‘Little’ looks to continue its run with a $9m weekend to draw ever closer to a $30m domestic total. The family comedy will extend its lead over the disappointing ‘Hellboy’, who will drop over 60% to post just $4.5m this weekend.